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YOUR PATH TO ARETE
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The 2026 Mid-Year Economic Outlook
Six months ago, I published a ranked matrix of the ten issues most likely to shape the business environment in 2026. This mid-year update recalibrates that ranking against hard data: the IMF's April World Economic Outlook, the April CPI release, current markets, and post-SCOTUS tariff reality. The numbers have moved. More importantly, the pattern beneath them has sharpened. Let me give you the headline figures, then tell you what they actually mean for how you run your organi
16 hours ago4 min read
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The 2026 Mid-Year Economic Outlook
Six months ago, I published a ranked matrix of the ten issues most likely to shape the business environment in 2026. This mid-year update recalibrates that ranking against hard data: the IMF's April World Economic Outlook, the April CPI release, current markets, and post-SCOTUS tariff reality. The numbers have moved. More importantly, the pattern beneath them has sharpened. Let me give you the headline figures, then tell you what they actually mean for how you run your organi
16 hours ago4 min read


When Your AI Vendor Becomes a Risk: A Plain-English Guide to Protecting Your Intellectual Work
Most executives and coaches who use AI tools think of their conversation history as something like a search history: transient, forgettable, and replaceable. That assumption is worth revisiting. Over the past year, many of us have done something more significant inside AI platforms than simple lookups. We have worked through complex coaching frameworks, drafted nuanced client communications, developed proprietary methodologies, refined our voice and reasoning across hundreds
May 276 min read


How Executives Are Using AI to Gain Organizational Visibility
It is May, and somewhere in your organization, something is quietly off. You can feel it in the slightly too-polished status updates, in the meetings that end without anyone owning anything, and in the YTD results that look acceptable on paper but have left you with a nagging sense that you're not seeing the full picture. You set the goals, held the meetings, and asked the right questions. Yet standing at the midpoint of the year, you find yourself running on instinct more th
May 79 min read


The OODA Loop in the Age of AI: Why the Orientation Gap Is Your Biggest Risk
For decades, the strategic edge belonged to leaders who could move through the Observe-Orient-Decide-Act (OODA) cycle faster than their competitors. That framework, developed by U.S. Air Force Colonel John Boyd in the 1970s, became one of the most enduring models for competitive decision-making in both military and business contexts (Boyd, 1976). The premise was straightforward: the side that cycles through observation, orientation, decision, and action most rapidly gains an
Apr 235 min read


The Limits of Best Practices in an AI-Driven World
Last quarter, a leadership team gathered to review their go-to-market strategy. The deck was polished: benchmark data, industry best practices, case studies from high-performing competitors. Every recommendation had precedent, and every decision felt safe. Two weeks later, a smaller competitor half their size launched a new model that undercut them on speed, pricing, and customer experience. No benchmark had predicted it, and no playbook had outlined it. The gap had nothing t
Apr 156 min read


7 Things Every Business Leader Must Know About the AI Revolution Happening Right Now
What 41 days of rigorous, multi-model intelligence monitoring reveals about the decisions that will define your organization's next chapter. The most important shifts in any technological revolution are rarely the ones that make headlines. The printing press wasn't just about faster books; it was about the democratization of knowledge and the collapse of institutional gatekeeping. Leaders who saw only the technology missed the transformation entirely. We are at that inflectio
Apr 16 min read
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